Research notes
RSS feedSeptember 2, 2025
I’d like to take a moment to address today’s events. This morning, pre-market, $NIO released its Q2 results. As expected, they reported a loss. Following the announcement, the stock dropped around 20% in pre-market trading. Because of eToro’s 24/5 trading functionality, this movement directly impacted our portfolio. Since NIO holds a significant weight in my portfolio, the effect was noticeable. For those who joined yesterday, this even triggered a stop-loss of over 10%, for which I’m truly sorry. Unfortunately, this is exactly the kind of short-term risk I mentioned in my pinned post (see point #1 about timing the market). That said, my conviction in NIO hasn’t changed. I remain extremely bullish on the company. The long-term uptrend is intact: sales are growing, there's still a large cash balance, and I see NIO as a key “golden nugget” in this portfolio.
August 29, 2025
I’ve made a few new moves in the market: $AEVA I re-entered after the stock dropped around 12% today. As I mentioned yesterday, I had closed my previous position with a small profit, but this pullback gives us an entry point of -15% without any company related news. Let's see how quickly thing swing plays out... $OUST Another player in the LiDAR space that has been on my watchlist for a while. I see today as a good entry point, and the fundamentals look promising. This could be a company I'm willing to add to my long-term list. $SMR A new position in a completely different sector for me. I see potential here and wanted to start building exposure.
August 28, 2025
Today I closed two positions: 🟡 $AEVA with a +𝟯.𝟮𝟰% profit. Not an amazing return, but after DCA’ing I felt it was the OK to close the position. The gain is at least sufficient to cover any costs made, I’ll be looking to reinvest the freed-up capital elsewhere. 🟢 $RGTI with a +𝟭𝟯.𝟭𝟭% profit. I do believe there’s still some upside here, but as I’m not confident about the short-term profitability of the sector I'd rather not keep it longer as needed. Since this was a technical trade, today’s sharp rise felt like the right moment to lock in gains. With these trades I'm taking profits where they make sense and introduce flexibility for new opportunities. At the end of the day, it’s not a crime to take profit now and then. 𝘊𝘰𝘱𝘺 𝘛𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦 | 𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬 | 𝘗𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘥𝘰𝘦𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘨𝘶𝘢𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘶𝘭𝘵𝘴.
August 21, 2025
I’ve just completed my first month as a Popular Investor, and I’m very grateful to already have 15 copiers who trust me with their investment decisions. That trust means a lot to me. 💸𝗥𝗲𝘀𝘂𝗹𝘁𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗽𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵💸 For this month, my portfolio has mainly gone sideways, I've made a couple of positive trades, but also a couple of trades that still need to recover for their earnings. Fortunately $NIO has found some momentum is these last couple of days, resulting in 1 of my copiers having a 7.64% increase since they started copying me since 5th of August!!! However, I'll keep pushing to make sure we can lock this in and start compounding on these profits. 𝗕𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗣𝗼𝗽𝘂𝗹𝗮𝗿 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿⁉️ Over this month I sure learned a lot about what it is to become a Popular Investor: how the mechanics work, the idea of investing other people's money, the effect this brings emotionally on me as an individual, ... 1️⃣ 𝗧𝗶𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗮 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 (𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗮𝗹𝘀𝗼 𝗶𝘀) When you copy me, you open all positions that I have, but you open it at the current market rate. This means that all positions that I'm holding in profit, are opened at todays market and that when it drops 10%, your position is in a negative 10%, but mine might still be +30% in profit. I hope the @eToroTeam can consider bringing the copying of open/new positions back, but remember that time in the market beats timing the market. In case you'd like to copy me, consider copying a smaller amount, but add a little bit each month. 2️⃣𝗖𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝘀𝗸 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗮 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗼𝘀𝘀 In the current world, the economic market is highly volatile and although BullAware gives my portfolio a Beta of -0.79, it typically reacts in a higher way than what the market does. On top of that, I do not fear sudden drops and can enjoy a small market drop like this week. However, for people with a reserved stoploss I felt pressure that my position would get called, fortunately over this horrible month it did not happen. 3️⃣𝗠𝘆 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝗹𝗲 𝗶𝘀𝗻'𝘁 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀 I really enjoy the idea of sharing my results with anyone who copies me, I picture Opera Winfrey shouting: "You get a Porsche GT3 RS and you get a Porsche GT3 RS and you ...", so yeah I'm committed to making this work for myself and at the same time also for you. However, I also do this with money that I can miss and I haven't planned for when I will take out some bits, compounding is key at this point in my life! And that is something I felt when making highly speculative trades this month, you might think that I'm crazy in buying this or that, but I have my reasons on why I buy and sell something and I should stick to those. I guess you copied me for a reason, I should just do my own thing and keep going the way its going, right!?! 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗸𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗿𝘂𝘀𝘁! Copy Trading is not investment advice | Capital at risk | Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$NIO is the largest position in my portfolio (around 40%), and over the past 30 days it has kept my portfolio fairly flat. The stock has been wrestling with the 5 dollar resistance, and I’m hoping that after today it can hold above that level and continue its climb toward 10 dollars. That said, beyond the stock price, I genuinely find NIO to be one of the most interesting and unique companies in the EV space. What sets it apart is its battery-swapping network (over 3,000 stations that can recharge a car in minutes), its vision of a smart EV ecosystem with AI assistants and autonomous driving, and its emphasis on premium design and cutting-edge technology. In China, NIO has already built a strong foothold in the premium EV market, and with its Onvo brand (including the L90), it’s now pushing into the mass market as well. As the CEO explained, the company is entering its harvesting period after years of heavy investment, laying the foundation for growth to accelerate. Over the past weeks, excitement around the Onvo L90 and the expectation of reaching profitability by the end of 2025 have been strong signals, and for me they point to a wave of positive news ahead. It hasn’t been an easy ride and with such a large position, the swings weigh heavily on my portfolio. Still, I believe that if NIO can keep scaling sales and deliveries, the momentum will eventually kick in. I don’t expect profitability by Q4, but I do believe the road ahead looks promising, and this stock could turn into a golden nugget over time. Copy Trading is not investment advice | Capital at risk | Past performance does not guarantee future results.
August 19, 2025
📊 $LAZRQ Q2 – Short-Term Trade Turning Sour LAZR Q2 results are out, and my short-term trade isn’t going as planned. Lowering the expectations for the future is a bitter pill to swallow, did we buy too soon, should we sell?!? These are questions that are going through my mind right now… Looking at the technology there is a future for sure, but when is the time it becomes profitable? Whatever tomorrow brings, I stay optimistic for the long-term for the sector and $LAZRQ. What do you think?
August 12, 2025
August 12, 2025
As predicted in my previous message, the earnings call was not good enough according to the market. Although $XYZ beat the expectations on EPS, the revenue dropped which resulted in the price going down. Because of the missed revenue, I had a look at the earnings of the competition. PayPal $PYPL also stumbled with weaker earnings and lowered guidance, Visa $V and Mastercard $MA both posted strong beats thanks to robust transaction volumes. Against that backdrop, XYZ’s results feel somewhere in the middle, better than PayPal’s, but not as strong as the card giants’. Besides the news, XYZ has broken my technical analysis which is a bigger concern in the short-term, but for now I’m holding and keeping an eye on growth trends in the next quarter(s). Anyone else still riding this one? Copy Trading is not investment advice | Capital at risk | Past performance does not guarantee future results.
August 5, 2025
With XYZ’s earnings coming up, I’ll be honest, I’m a bit concerned about how the market will react. Expectations feel very high right now, maybe even a bit unrealistic. From my experience, even positive results can still trigger a negative short-term move if they don’t completely blow past forecasts. That said, I’m still bullish on XYZ in the long run. I like the company’s fundamentals, growth potential, and the fact that it’s now part of the $SPX500 . Being in the index means it’s included in a lot of ETFs ( $SPY ), which I see as a positive driver for the stock over time. I’m currently up around 35% on this position. If the price drops significantly after earnings due to short-term disappointment, I’ll see that as a potential buying opportunity for myself and anyone who copies me. Just my personal view | not financial advice.
August 1, 2025
This week has been a rollercoaster ride. Markets briefly pushed to new highs, but stretched valuations, overheated margin debt, and speculation have made every piece of news trigger sharp swings. Add to that the uncertainty from fresh tariffs on multiple countries, higher‑than‑expected inflation, and mixed signals from the Fed, and we’ve had no shortage of turbulence. Today is shaping up to be a particularly red day. Early optimism has faded quickly as inflation worries weigh on sentiment, growth stocks face pressure, and investors take risk off the table. Despite the pullback, I remain confident we’ll bounce back. Corrections like these often create buying opportunities for strong names. 🔎 I’m watching: $ASML , $HSAI , $LAZRQ, $OUST, $IBRX 🪙 In crypto, I’m also monitoring the broader market and waiting for an entry point on $GRT. Volatility is part of the journey and days like these can plant the seeds for the next leg higher.
July 24, 2025
I'm taking a speculative position in Luminar, a leading LiDAR tech company powering the future of autonomous driving and industrial automation. 🔍 Why I bought: ✅ Real commercial traction, Luminar signed development deals with Mercedes-Benz and Caterpillar. That’s a strong signal of real-world adoption beyond hype. ✅ Recent Q1 earnings beat, revenue and shipments up, margins improving. ✅ Close to being oversold, trading near multi-year lows. 📉 Yes, the company is still unprofitable, and the CEO just stepped down, but that’s priced in. With strong liquidity, and major OEM partnerships, I see a high-risk, high-reward swing setup. 🧠 In short: Luminar has laid the groundwork for long-term success. The risk is real, but so is the upside. And in early-stage growth plays, asymmetric opportunity is what I’m after.